Defence Cooperation Archives - ICDS

Defence Cooperation

Hague Summit Series: The EU-NATO Relationship

The return of great power competition and the weakening of the international order have produced significant threats to Europe’s security. Most urgently, Russia’s aggression has brought large-scale war to Ukraine and Russia into a hybrid confrontation with Ukraine’s western allies. At the same time, the US seems ready to reduce its commitment to Europe’s security and even to be hostile towards its long-standing partners and the values they defend.[1] This deteriorating geopolitical situation should encourage greater synergies between NATO and the EU, the two main organisations that deal with security and defence in Europe.

Publications

Toward a Europeanised NATO

Europeanisation is necessary to sustain NATO’s deterrence of Russia at a time when US leadership is agnostic at best and failing at worst. The task is neither impossible, nor quick, nor easy. Europeanisation should be pursued as a matter of urgency.

Featured, Publications

Defending Europe’s Skies: Challenges and Prospects

Russia’s war in Ukraine has underscored the importance of effective air and missile defence for the protection of both units on the battlefield and infrastructure behind the front lines. The war has also served as a reminder that while Europe’s air and missile defence has long been recognised as a critical capability shortfall, NATO Allies and EU Member States have not acted with sufficient resolve to rectify this situation.

Commentary

Discretion Rather Than Pressure Will Get the World on Ukraine’s side

Ukrainian diplomacy has been working hard to maintain Russia’s aggression against their country high on the global agenda, including with relatively new partners in the so-called ‘Global South’.

Publications

British Power in Baltic Weather: The UK’s Role in Nordic-Baltic Security and UK-Estonia Defence Cooperation

For many decades, the United Kingdom has been an important player in the Nordic-Baltic region, and today it aims to increase its contribution to security and stability of the region. The UK has long been an attractive partner for countries in the region that seek to maintain strong relations with the geopolitical heavyweight possessing a similar outlook on the security environment, transatlantic relations, utility of military force, and the threat from Russia. Given London’s interest for global engagement and its limited means, ensuring continuous and reliable British involvement in the region is a priority for Nordic-Baltic states.

Publications

Baltic Defence Development: Adding Value to the Defence of the Baltic Sea Region

While Baltic security thinking has long been dominated by assessments of the risk of Russian military aggression in Europe, the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was still a shock in its brutality and scale. It has led the three Baltic states to further increase defence spending and to accelerate the building of national defence capabilities.

Commentary

Let Us Not Deceive Ourselves: Western Unity Is Fragile

A common Western policy on Russia requires a herculean effort. Yet European unity will be short-lived unless—once the war ends—Ukraine receives the only security guarantee that has proven effective—that is, membership in NATO.

Commentary

France’s Nuclear-Weapons Policy: What’s in It for Europe?

French president Emmanuel Macron caused quite a stir with his recent statement¹ that France would not retaliate with nuclear weapons against Russia if the Kremlin launched a nuclear strike on Ukraine. A follow-on tweet² from his official Twitter account saying “we do not want a world war” only added to the backlash on social media. While this messaging was in line with that from other allies—and did not express any intention to abandon Ukraine for the sake of avoiding a nuclear war—it was widely interpreted as, at the very least, undermining deterrence³. Although some of the harsher reactions are quite misguided, the episode raises a legitimate question about whether the French nuclear deterrent carries much weight in protecting Europe as a whole from rogue nuclear regimes.

News

10 Briefs on Russia’s War in Ukraine

Russia’s war in Ukraine has undoubtedly been game-changing for Europe’s security, challenging the long-held beliefs and assumptions of many Western nations and prompting dramatic shifts in policy, for example, in Germany, Finland, and Sweden. The war’s conduct has also produced significant surprises, not least the unexpectedly poor performance of Russia’s supposedly reformed military.