Hot information war, creeping escalation and other warnings and developments indicate that Russia is moving towards another attack on Ukraine. Will it be annexation of Donbas, a launch of full-scale military operations or insertion of Russian ‘peacekeepers’?
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The analysis highlights instrumentalisation of resilience for mitigating security threats, especially in the discourse on NATO deterrence and defence.
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Russia’s attention to history – especially to WWII or what they call Great Patriotic War – has steadily grown since 1995 and has by now exceeded the Soviet era and is still growing, Dr Ivo Juurvee, ICDS Head of Security and Resilience Programme noted in a NATO StratCom COE webinar on the use of history as a tool of foreign influence by Russia and other actors.
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The brief explores reasons why the concerns, grievances and perceptions of all vulnerable societal groups should receive adequate attention if further harm inflicted by fact-free and/or fact-twisting ‘alternative realities’ is to be averted.
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ETV+, the Estonian National Broadcast’s TV-channel targeting Estonia’s Russian minority, was launched in 2015 after the occupation and annexation of Crimea as it became evident that letting Estonia’s Russian minority live solely in the Russian media space would pose a security risk.
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“The streets of many American cities and towns are nearly deserted. News reports offer viewers and readers communities tightly shuttered as if bracing for an incoming hurricane. But it is not a hurricane that finds Americans avoiding one another ‘like the plague.’” This is not a passage from the latest news article on the ongoing global coronavirus pandemic. It is from a chapter entitled ‘Pandemic’ in a 2009 book by one of the sharpest US strategic thinkers, Andrew F. Krepinevich, ‘7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century.’
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The Estonian Ministry of Economic Affairs and Communications and the Estonian Ministry of Rural Affairs commissioned the International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS) to compile a list of civilian food and emergency goods supplies, estimated average amounts of supplies at home and in stores, and calculations for the price of national emergency goods supplies and logistics.
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ICDS Chief Executive and Programme Director “Resilient Ukraine” Dmitri Teperik participated in the international roundtable entitled “Russia’s interference in electoral processes: threat and response”, organized by the Committee of Voters of Ukraine in Kyiv on 17 February 2020.
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Ukrinform and ICDS organised a public roundtable discussion entitled “National Resilience: New Approaches to Solving Old Problems” on 12 December 2019 in Kyiv, Ukraine.
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International Autumn School Resilience League 2019 gathered around 70 young professionals and experienced experts from the Baltic states, Sweden, Germany, Great Britain, Ukraine, Belarus and other countries. During the 6-day long event, participants discussed various aspects related to cognitive resilience against hostile disinformation, societal polarisation and harmful radicalisation.
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