Russia’s war in Ukraine has undoubtedly been game-changing for Europe’s security, challenging the long-held beliefs and assumptions of many Western nations and prompting dramatic shifts in policy, for example, in Germany, Finland, and Sweden. The war’s conduct has also produced significant surprises, not least the unexpectedly poor performance of Russia’s supposedly reformed military.
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The sixth brief in the “Russia’s War in Ukraine” series concerns the war at sea.
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In the last decade, the Black Sea has become a de facto arena for competing and objectively irreconcilable strategic interests, where an opportunistic Russia has unilaterally changed the security architecture and dynamics in the region via not only conventional military means, but also highly sophisticated and hybrid means that have allowed Moscow plausible deniability.
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The formation of our new world differs in complexity, notably according to a number of pandemic and post-pandemic factors that encourage the transformation of old “centres of power” and the emergence of new ones.
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Events in the world in 2018 continued the current trend, indicating the next arms race and the primacy of the law of force.
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ICDS Chief Executive Dmitri Teperik participated in the annual expert and analyst forum entitled “Modern Wars and Old Conflicts of the Black Sea Region”, which was organised by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, Maidan of Foreign Affairs and Institute of Strategic Black Sea Studies in Odessa on 6-7 September 2018.
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