July 5, 2024

Keeping the Americans In

AFP/SCANPIX
US soldiers on an Abrams tank and German soldiers take part in the NATO DRAGON-24 military exercise in Korzeniewo, part of the Steadfast Defender exercise, NATO's biggest military exercise since the Cold War in March 2024.
US soldiers on an Abrams tank and German soldiers take part in the NATO DRAGON-24 military exercise in Korzeniewo, part of the Steadfast Defender exercise, NATO's biggest military exercise since the Cold War in March 2024.

NATO heads of state and government will gather in Washington on 9-11 July to mark the Alliance’s 75th anniversary. While a third year of full-scale war rages in Europe, they will need to guard the tone of their celebrations. But it would be remiss of the Allies not to recognise the importance and success of their organisation. NATO remains the essential transatlantic forum. It has had huge positive impact on security in Europe and elsewhere, built shared understanding and purpose among a growing number of members, and successfully adapted to decades of changing circumstances. There is much to applaud.

But there is also work to be done. The summit’s main business will concern Ukraine, defence and deterrence, and burden-sharing. While there are unlikely to be big announcements, the summit should play a significant role in ensuring that the decisions taken in Madrid in 2022, and Vilnius in 2023 are properly implemented. This series of briefs examines some of the key issues for the Washington Summit.

The European Allies will closely watch this year’s US elections, concerned that a second Trump Presidency may have devastating consequences for transatlantic relations. In the sixth brief of the series, Rachel Hoff looks at US rhetoric and attitudes towards NATO. The good news is that polling shows that the majority of Americans are favourable towards NATO and support Article 5. But this support drops if the European Allies fail to meet NATO’s defence spending guidelines. Whoever wins the election in November, Europe will need to pull its weight to keep the US engaged.

Brief 6. Keeping the Americans in (PDF)

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