While Baltic security thinking has long been dominated by assessments of the risk of Russian military aggression in Europe, the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was still a shock in its brutality and scale. It has led the three Baltic states to further increase defence spending and to accelerate the building of national defence capabilities.
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Russia’s war in Ukraine, Germany’s Zeitenwende, Finland and Sweden’s likely accession to NATO, and Denmark’s opting into the EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy have produced fundamental shifts in the Baltic region.
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The sixth brief in the “Russia’s War in Ukraine” series concerns the war at sea.
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In the next few months Finland and Sweden will likely become the 31st and 32nd members of NATO. What kind of Allies will they be, and what will this mean for the security of the Nordic-Baltic region?
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After Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea and aggression against Ukraine in 2014, NATO put renewed focus onto its primary task of collective defence and deterrence. It has taken several important steps, but it would be a mistake to believe that NATO’s deterrence posture in the Baltic region is complete.
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The book “Perceptions of Germany in the Security of the Baltic Sea Region” is a collection of papers from Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Germany and assess Germany’s contribution to the security of the Baltic Sea region. The book project was led by the Latvian Institute of International Affairs in Riga.
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With the recent German Coalition agreement in place, attention turns to Germany’s role in Europe.
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