Resilience provides a solid framework for many policy domains, including sustainable governance, safety, and national security. Likewise, deep divisions that characterise polarised societies are proven to undermine resilience, exposing populations to crises and consequences thereof.
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Russia’s war against Ukraine has produced multiple shifts in the geopolitical landscape of Europe. Various EU member states and EU institutions broke through entire decades of dogmatic principles and established practices in security and defence policies to respond to Russia’s aggression and protect the continent. The energy domain is at the forefront of this confrontation, as Russia used its dominant market position in European energy supply in the run-up to – as well as during – the war to weaken Europe’s responses, divide the EU, and deter it from increasing its support to Ukraine.
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Crisis management is one of NATO’s core tasks, alongside collective defence and cooperative security. NATO’s new Strategic Concept, which is currently being developed as a replacement for the previous document adopted in 2010, is likely to place an even greater focus on the issue.
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“The streets of many American cities and towns are nearly deserted. News reports offer viewers and readers communities tightly shuttered as if bracing for an incoming hurricane. But it is not a hurricane that finds Americans avoiding one another ‘like the plague.’” This is not a passage from the latest news article on the ongoing global coronavirus pandemic. It is from a chapter entitled ‘Pandemic’ in a 2009 book by one of the sharpest US strategic thinkers, Andrew F. Krepinevich, ‘7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century.’
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By mid-March, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to have had a major impact on military live-exercises scheduled for the first half of 2020.
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